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Zab05-005 | #DOEDeepDive: Ch 5.4 The vertical mismatch | |||||||
| Quote: | Last week we looked at the lack of a warming hotspot in the tropical troposphere, or global troposphere for that matter, a crucial point where model predictions fail so obviously that even the IPCC concedes it, while conveniently burying it deep in the back pages. The DoE team went on to point out that the mismatch goes further than just predicting too much warming. Climate models embed a feedback process by which warming increases with altitude through the troposphere up to a height of about 16 km, and predict an especially strong amplification of surface warming between 8 and 12 km up. So as we look up layer by layer there should be a steady increase in the warming trends, if greenhouse gases are doing what the models expect to the atmosphere and the planet. To illustrate the point the IPCC drew a diagram showing what the models say the warming pattern should look like, compared to the vertical pattern if GHGs have no effect. They also plotted what the data show. And remarkably the mere real-world observations match the models with no GHG effect and dont match the standard model runs. So how did the IPCC hide this result? Veeery carefully. | |||||||
| Article: | https://climatediscussionnexus.com/2026/01/28/doedeepdive-ch-5-4-the-vertical-mismatch/ | |||||||
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02/06/2026-07:55:17 PM
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